2003
Sheshinski E.
Optimal Policy to Influence Individual Choice Probabilities. [Internet]. 2003.
Publisher's VersionAbstractThis paper presents a model in which government may affect outcomes by manipulating individual choice probabilities through the design of the domain of choice or the use of fiscal instruments. Such manipulations are ineffective when individuals are perfectly rational, provided all alternatives are permitted. However, even a small deviation from perfect rationality is shown to call for policy that substantially manipulates choice probabilities. This policy aims to lend weight to alternatives preferred by individuals who are prone, more than others, to make mistakes. At very low levels of rationality, when choices are largely random, it is always socially optimal to [...]
Eytan S, Luis F. L-calva.
Privatization and Its Benefits: Theory and Evidence. CESifo Economic Studies [Internet]. 2003 :429.
Publisher's VersionAbstractPrivatization has been a key component of structural reform programs in both developed and developing economies. The aim of such programs is to achieve higher microeconomic efficiency and foster economic growth, as well as reduce public sector borrowing requirements through the elimination of unnecessary subsidies. Microeconomic theory tells us that incentive and contracting problems create inefficiencies due to public ownership, given that managers of state-owned enterprises pursue objectives that differ from those of private firms (political view) and face less monitoring (management view). Not only are the managers' objectives distorted, but the budget constraints they face are also softened. The soft-budget constraint emerges from the fact that bankruptcy is not a credible threat to public managers, for it is in the central government's own interest to bail them out in case of financial distress. Empirical evidence shows a robust corroboration of theoretical implications: privatiz
Sheshinski E. Economica [Internet]. 2003 :574.
Publisher's Version Eytan S.
Bounded Rationality and Socially Optimal Limits on Choice in a Self-Selection Model. CESifo Working Paper Series [Internet]. 2003.
Publisher's VersionAbstractWhen individuals choose from whatever alternatives available to them the one that maximizes their utility then it is always desirable that the government provide them with as many alternatives as possible. Individuals, however, do not always choose what is best for them and their mistakes may be exacerbated by the availability of options. We analyze self-selection models, when individuals know more about themselves than it is possible for governments to know, and show that it may be socially optimal to limit and sometimes to eliminate individual choice. As an example, we apply Luce’s (1959) model of random choice to a work-retirement decision model and show that the optimal provision of choice is positively related to the degree of heterogeneity in the population and that even with very small degrees of non-rationality it may be optimal not to provide individuals any choice.
Eytan S.
Note on Income Taxation and Occupational Choice. CESifo Working Paper Series [Internet]. 2003.
Publisher's VersionAbstractWith varying aptitudes in different occupations, individuals typically maximize income by specializing in one occupation which promises the highest income. Due to numerous labor market imperfections and uncertainties, the choice of best occupation is accomplished with only partial success. We demonstrate that an income tax that reduces after-tax income differentials across occupations tends to exacerbate the errors of choice made by individuals. Following a model proposed by Tinbergen (1951) and developed by Houthakker (1974), we use Luce’s (1959) multinominal logit approach to evaluate the magnitude of the distortions due to errors in occupational choice caused by income taxation. In an example, we show that the deadweight loss can be as high as a third of total income.
Eytan S.
Note on the Optimum Pricing of Annuities. CESifo Working Paper Series [Internet]. 2003.
Publisher's VersionAbstractIn a perfectly competitive market for annuities with full information, the price of annuities is equal to individuals’ (discounted) survival probabilities. That is, prices are actuarially fair. In contrast, the pricing implicit in social security systems invariably allows for cross subsidization between different risk groups (males/females). We examine the utilitarian approach to the optimum pricing of annuities and show how the solution depends on the joint distribution of survival probailities and incomes in the population.
Sheshinski E.
Optimal Policy to Influence Individual Choice Probabilities. MPRA Paper [Internet]. 2003.
Publisher's VersionAbstractThis paper presents a model in which government may affect outcomes by manipulating individual choice probabilities through the design of the domain of choice or the use of fiscal instruments. Such manipulations are ineffective when individuals are perfectly rational, provided all alternatives are permitted. However, even a small deviation from perfect rationality is shown to call for policy that substantially manipulates choice probabilities. This policy aims to lend weight to alternatives preferred by individuals who are prone, more than others, to make mistakes. At very low levels of rationality, when choices are largely random, it is always socially optimal to entirely eliminate individual choice in order to prevent the errors generated by such choice. It is better to impose one alternative that is not the preferred one for some individuals instead of inducing a completely random draw by everybody.
Eytan S.
Optimum and Risk-Class Pricing of Annuities. CESifo Working Paper Series [Internet]. 2003.
Publisher's VersionAbstractWhen information on longevity (survival functions) is unknown early in life, individuals have an interest to insure themselves against future ’risk-class’ classification. Accordingly, the First-Best typically involves transfers across states of nature. Competitive equilibrium cannot provide such transfers if insurance firms are unable to precommit their customers. On the other hand, public insurance plans that do not distinguish between ’risk-class’ realizations are also inefficient. It is impossible, a-priori, to rank these alternatives from a welfare point of view.
Eytan S.
Optimum Delayed Retirement Credit. CESifo Working Paper Series [Internet]. 2003.
Publisher's VersionAbstractA central question for pension design is how benefits should vary with the age of retirement beyond early eligibility age. It is often argued that in order to be neutral with respect to individual retirement decisions benefits should be actuarially fair, that is, the present value of additional contributions and benefits (’Delayed Retirement Credit’ - DRC) due to postponed retirement should be equal. We show that in a self-selection, asymmetric information model, because individual decisions are suboptimal, the socially optimal benefit structure should be less than actuarially fair.
Sheshinski E.
Bounded Rationality and Socially Optimal Limits on Choice in a Self-Selection Model. [Internet]. 2003.
Publisher's VersionAbstractWhen individuals choose from whatever alternatives available to them the one that maximizes their utility then it is always desirable that the government provide them with as many alternatives as possible. Individuals, however, do not always choose what is best for them and their mistakes may be exacerbated by the availability of options. We analyze self-selection models, when individuals know more about themselves than it is possible for governments to know, and show that it may be socially optimal to limit and sometimes to eliminate individual choice. As an example, we apply Luce’s (1959) model of random choice to a [...]
Sheshinski E.
Note on Income Taxation and Occupational Choice. [Internet]. 2003.
Publisher's VersionAbstractWith varying aptitudes in different occupations, individuals typically maximize income by specializing in one occupation which promises the highest income. Due to numerous labor market imperfections and uncertainties, the choice of best occupation is accomplished with only partial success. We demonstrate that an income tax that reduces after-tax income differentials across occupations tends to exacerbate the errors of choice made by individuals. Following a model proposed by Tinbergen (1951) and developed by Houthakker (1974), we use Luce’s (1959) multinominal logit approach to evaluate the magnitude of the distortions due to errors in occupational choice caused by income taxation. In an [...]
Sheshinski E.
Note on the Optimum Pricing of Annuities. [Internet]. 2003.
Publisher's VersionAbstractIn a perfectly competitive market for annuities with full information, the price of annuities is equal to individuals’ (discounted) survival probabilities. That is, prices are actuarially fair. In contrast, the pricing implicit in social security systems invariably allows for cross subsidization between different risk groups (males/females). We examine the utilitarian approach to the optimum pricing of annuities and show how the solution depends on the joint distribution of survival probailities and incomes in the population. [...]
Sheshinski E.
Optimum and Risk-Class Pricing of Annuities. [Internet]. 2003.
Publisher's VersionAbstractWhen information on longevity (survival functions) is unknown early in life, individuals have an interest to insure themselves against future ’risk-class’ classification. Accordingly, the First-Best typically involves transfers across states of nature. Competitive equilibrium cannot provide such transfers if insurance firms are unable to precommit their customers. On the other hand, public insurance plans that do not distinguish between ’risk-class’ realizations are also inefficient. It is impossible, a-priori, to rank these alternatives from a welfare point of view. [...]
Sheshinski E.
Optimum Delayed Retirement Credit. [Internet]. 2003.
Publisher's VersionAbstractA central question for pension design is how benefits should vary with the age of retirement beyond early eligibility age. It is often argued that in order to be neutral with respect to individual retirement decisions benefits should be actuarially fair, that is, the present value of additional contributions and benefits (’Delayed Retirement Credit’ - DRC) due to postponed retirement should be equal. We show that in a self-selection, asymmetric information model, because individual decisions are suboptimal, the socially optimal benefit structure should be less than actuarially fair. [...]
Sheshinski E, López-Calva LF.
Privatization and Its Benefits: Theory and Evidence. [Internet]. 2003.
Publisher's VersionAbstractPrivatization has been a key component of structural reform programs in both developed and developing economies. The aim of such programs is to achieve higher microeconomic efficiency and foster economic growth, as well as reduce public sector borrowing requirements through the elimination of unnecessary subsidies. Microeconomic theory tells us that incentive and contracting problems create inefficiencies due to public ownership, given that managers of state-owned enterprises pursue objectives that differ from those of private firms (political view) and face less monitoring (management view). Not only are the managers' objectives distorted, but the budget constraints they face are also softened. The [...]